thread weeks
Treasury yields invert -- recession signal?
1 July 2022 — 31 Oct 2022 %22%2F%3E%3Ctext%20x%3D%2250%25%22%20y%3D%2250%25%22%20dy%3D%22.1em%22%20text-anchor%3D%22middle%22%20dominant-baseline%3D%22central%22%20fill%3D%22%23fff%22%20font-family%3D%22'DM%20Sans'%2C%20sans-serif%22%20font-weight%3D%22600%22%20font-size%3D%2228.8%22%3EA%3C%2Ftext%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E)
@alice (Alice) 5 April 2026
@alice (Alice) 5 April 2026 The 10-year yield briefly fell below the 2-year in mid-2022, a classic recession predictor. Every US recession since 1955 has been preceded by a yield curve inversion, though the lead time varies from 6 to 24 months.