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Treasury Yields Drop Alongside CPI Record High Around Nov 1, 2025
Oct 9, 2025 — Nov 8, 2025 May 14, 2026
Within a ~14-day window around November 1, 2025, two notable movements occurred concurrently: 10-Year Treasury yields fell to 4.04%, sitting 2.2 standard deviations below their 60-day average (mean: 4.29%, σ: 0.11). At the same time, the Consumer Price Index reached a new record high of 325.06, surpassing the previous peak of 324.25. These movements represent a statistical outlier in Treasury yields occurring alongside fresh inflation highs. This timing pattern - unusually low yields concurrent with record CPI - invites investigation: is this co-occurrence meaningful or coincidental?