datoid

Within ~14 days of 2026-01-01, two notable movements occurred: GDP reached a new high of $31,856.26B (exceeding the previous high of $31,422.53B), while the 10-Year Treasury Yield fell to 4.17%, sitting 2.1 standard deviations below its 60-point average of 4.34%. These events happened within the same approximately two-week window, representing a co-occurrence in timing. This observation alone provides no evidence of correlation between the series, let alone any directional relationship. Worth investigating: Is this timing pattern meaningful, or simply coincidental? What other factors were present during this same period?