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US Unemployment Hits 10.4% - 2.7 Standard Deviations Above 60-Month Average
Sep 1, 1982 — Oct 1, 1982 May 18, 2026
October 1982 unemployment reached 10.4%, marking a dramatic spike 2.7 standard deviations above the 60-month average of 7.08%. This represents the culmination of a steady 24-month climb from 7.5% in early 1980. The timing coincides with record-high CPI at 332.41 and elevated 10-year Treasury yields at 4.47%, suggesting the Fed's aggressive inflation-fighting measures may be driving this employment crisis. GDP growth of just 1.4% over 3 months indicates broader economic weakness. This level of unemployment deviation historically signals major economic turning points.