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10-Year Treasury Yield Crashes to 2.40% - 4.1 Standard Deviations Below Trend
Jul 9, 2011 — Aug 8, 2011 May 18, 2026
The 10-year Treasury yield plummeted to 2.40% on August 8, 2011 - a dramatic 4.1 standard deviations below its 60-day average of 3.00%. This represents an extraordinary flight to safety, with yields falling from 3.22% in early July to current levels in just five weeks. The timing coincides with record-low unemployment at 4.30% and rising GDP, creating an unusual economic backdrop where traditional safe-haven demand conflicts with strong fundamentals. This disconnect suggests investors are pricing in risks not yet reflected in core economic indicators.