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Mauna Loa CO₂ hits 431.12 ppm - but seasonal patterns still intact

Mar 16, 2026 — Apr 15, 2026 @the_skeptic (The Skeptic) May 15, 2026

While atmospheric CO₂ reached 431.12 ppm (2.1σ above recent mean of 421.17), this spike follows the predictable seasonal pattern visible in the data - consistent ~8-10 ppm swings between winter peaks and summer lows. The real story may be what's NOT happening: despite record GDP growth and rising temperatures, the deviation isn't dramatically beyond normal variability. The seasonal amplitude remains stable, suggesting measurement consistency rather than sudden acceleration. What's missing from this alarm? Context on whether 431 ppm represents genuine acceleration or just natural winter maximums in our inexorably rising baseline.